Christian Schneider

Author, Columnist

Category: Budget (page 4 of 4)

The Hospital Double-Standard

Last week, the Wisconsin Hospital Association dropped their opposition to a tax on hospitals originally proposed by Governor Jim Doyle.  The WHA had initially opposed the tax, and legislative leaders in both the Senate and Assembly had agreed to take it off the negotiating table.  Supporters of the tax believe it will allow the state to draw down federal matching funds, while opponents note that the tax will merely be passed on to hospital consumers (commonly known as \”sick people.\”)

With the WHA dropping their opposition to the tax (knowing that in the end they won\’t be the ones paying it), Senate Democrats have now reneged on their initial agreement to remove the tax.  According to Senate Majority Leader Judy Robson, the budget could be done quickly if Republicans accept the tax increase – that she previously had agreed to scuttle.

Owen Robinson has done an excellent job of explaining how the WHA\’s switch in position shouldn\’t effect budget negotiations.  For one, we elect legislators – not special interest groups.  For Assembly Republicans, it hasn\’t altered their position – they were opposed to it before, and remain in opposition regardless of the position of an interested organization.

There is, however, a second step to this equation.  Where is the discussion of Senate Democrats who have now flip-flopped their position at the behest of the Hospital Association?  Since when have we looked kindly at legislators who are so clearly led around by the nose by a special interest group?

The answer here is simple – since, in this case, the interest group is advocating for higher taxes, they cease to be a \”special interest\” in the eyes of the media and good government groups.  They are merely pushing for better health care, right?

Imagine if the opposite scenario had developed.  Suppose the original budget had a tax break for fatcat businesses, which the Assembly Republicans agreed, with the blessing of the business community, to take out.  Then, at the last minute in budget negotiations, Wisconsin Manufacturers and Commerce came in and demanded it be re-installed, leaving Assembly Republicans scrambling to re-insert it as a budget bottom-line.  We\’d hear howls of undue special interest influence, charges of buying legislators, and the like.  We\’d get the predictable round of editorials pushing campaign finance reform and charges of negotiating in bad faith.

On the hospital tax issue, there has been one consistent voice - from the side opposed to it.  Those looking for the effects of special interest influence need to look no further than the Senate Democrats, who have handed their decision-making process to the WHA board.  Good government, indeed.

We Get the Reporting We Deserve

\”If you don\’t read the newspaper, you are uninformed; if you do read the newspaper, you are misinformed.\”

-Mark Twain

The press has been going on and on about how much damage Wisconsin\’s late budget will do on the state.  In fact, the greatest damage a late budget does is inflict more and more bad reporting on our citizens.

Yesterday, a local Madison television station aired a report on the late nature of state budget negotiations.  The Wisconsin budget is now 93 days past due, although spending continues as it would under the previous budget.  The reporter noted that other states have measures in place to punish lawmakers who drag their feet in the budget writing process.

She then turned to \”nonpartisan\” media Golden Boy Mike McCabe of the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign to explain why the budget is so late in coming:

McCabe said that lawmakers\’ fundraising is also partially to blame.

\”I think the most powerful thing that we could do is ban campaign fundraising during the budget process because I guarantee you, if they couldn\’t raise campaign money right now, they\’d have a budget done,\” said McCabe.

The fundraising-during-the-budget angle has been a common theme among media outlets during the budget process.  It is also the most ridiculous explanation for the late budget.  Yet no member of the media – not one – apparently is willing to debunk this obnoxious boiler-plate argument.

First of all, there isn\’t going to be any downside from the late budget.  I know it sounds crazy – but the last thing you\’re going to hear from any media outlet is \”the budget is late, but continuing ongoing funding will mitigate the impact over the next two years, so there will be little effect on taxpayers.\”  Instead, they need to convince you that you should flee your house immediately, as the late nature of the budget will cause your roof to cave in within the next 15 minutes.

The fundraising argument also allows news outlets to avoid actually having to do real reporting on the issues within the budget.  If it\’s all a matter of corruption, why even bother reporting on actual funding and the efficacy of state programs?  That takes time and research.

In fact, the reason the budget is late is primarily because Senate Democrats took one day to inject the budget with a $15.2 billion universal health care plan, then refused to move off their position.  There was no way the budget ever had a chance of passing with that monstrous tax increase in it.  Even Governor Doyle opposed it.  There were clearly other positions taken by Republicans that were untenable to Democrats.  That\’s negotiation with a divided legislature.

Let\’s take a look back at the last couple of budgets when the legislature was divided between Republicans and Democrats.  The modern tactic of holding fast on your position seems to have been born in the 1997-99 budget, which didn\’t see final passage until September 29th.  The next budget featured an epic staredown between Senate Majority Leader Chuck Chvala and Assembly Speaker Scott Jensen.  A final vote took place on October 6th – but even then, the budget work wasn\’t done.  A trailer bill authorizing a large sales tax rebate to taxpayers was passed on November 11th of 1999.

In 2001, the budget passed fairly quickly, as it contained something for everyone – including the new $50 million Seniorcare program, and $500 million in increased school aids.  The budget passed on July 26th – nearly a month behind deadline, but rather quickly when compared to the previous two budgets.

In 2002, control of the Senate flipped to the Republicans.  While budget fights weren\’t always smooth, the houses got together and passed the 2003-05 budget on June 20th and the 2005-07 budget on July 5th.  Of course, the Senate went back to the Democrats in 2006, which leaves us at the current budget impasse.

A couple of points here: Exactly what happened when budgets were being passed in late September, October, and even November in the \’90s?  Nothing.  Nobody\’s still talking about the horrors of 1999, when bridges started falling apart (as Governor Doyle has recently threatened will happen, in a stunningly crass talking point).  Mike Huebsch and Judy Robson both know nothing will happen, so they continue to hold out.  When the budget is done, it\’ll be time to watch the Packers play the Lions on Thanksgiving, and nobody will even remember what happened.

Secondly, this seems to be irrefutable proof that late budgets are caused by split parties, not by some kind of inherent corruption within the system.  If holding the budget over the heads of prospective donors worked, why did the Republicans pass budgets so quickly in 2003 and 2005?  Couldn\’t they have soaked their donors for a little more by dragging the budget on for a lot longer?  In 2001, you don\’t think Chuck Chvala and Scott Jensen could have prolonged the budget process to extract more cash?  Is it even possible they were actually able to compromise on issues in that instance?

Furthermore, what would a ban on fundraising during the budget even do?  As far as I can tell, lobbyists have Blackberry PDAs.  Those phones have calendars on them.  If you take the good government groups at their word and accept that legislators are trading laws for cash, how hard would it be to circumvent this prohibition?  It would only take the following utterance: \”Thanks, Senator for that piece of special interest legislation.  I will now go light up my cigar with a hundred dollar bill and program a reminder into my Blackberry to give you a wheelbarrow of cash as soon as the budget is passed.\”  And there you have it – prohibition evaded.

In fact, the most galling part of the entire charade comes back to McCabe himself.  For years, McCabe has decried the influence of special interests on the legislative process.  During the budget, he has traveled the state at trumped-up \”public hearings\” to push for the universal health care plan in the Senate Democrats\’ budget.  In fact, these hearings were sponsored by a group that may have broken the law in coordinating their advocacy with state lawmakers.  Then he has the nerve to suggest that the budget was being held up by corruption?  When his special interest (which doesn\’t disclose its donors) was out pushing for the single biggest item holding up the whole budget process?  And he\’s complaining about the influence of special interests in delaying the budget? It\’s beyond preposterous.

And yet the poor Channel 3 reporter simply had no clue.  People tell her stuff and she puts it on the air.  Reporters (especially the television variety) aren\’t paid much, and frequently change stations.  Their expertise tends to be in reporting, not in understanding how the state budget works or who the biggest hypocrites in the state might be.

I hate to pick on this one reporter, as she seems like a very nice woman.  But her ridiculous report mirrors those across the state during the budget, from people who should know better.  Mike McCabe tells her some stuff, and she puts it on the air, unquestioned.  Jim Doyle says Seniorcare won\’t be able to fund prescription drugs for seniors, and she reports it as fact.  Except it\’s not even close to being right. 

Seniorcare has a base budget of $155 million, which it will continue to receive until a new budget is passed.  While the new budget may have an increase in it, $155 million should be enough to tide the program over until new funding is decided within the next couple of weeks.  Not a single single senior will lose a cent of their benefits.  But you may have noticed that Governor Doyle didn\’t say something like \”single mothers won\’t be able to get their child support checks,\” since the severity of the imaginary tragedy is directly proportial to the likelihood of the aggrieved party to vote.

As was the case in 1999, this imaginary budget \”crisis\” will be forgotten within weeks.  But the shoddy reporting will remain, ready to misinform you about the next big legislative issue facing the state.

Cigarette Taxes Up, Revenue Down

The State Policy Network Blog points out the unintended effect of New Jersey\’s newly increased cigarette tax – it actually reduces revenue to the state.  SPN points to an Asbury Park Press column by Gregg Edwards, which says:

To support the Fiscal Year 2007 state budget, Gov. Corzine successfully proposed increasing the cigarette tax by 17.5 cents, from $2.40 to 2.575 per pack. It was the fourth tax increase in a six-year period and it made New Jersey\’s tax the highest state tax in the nation.

Here was the result: In FY 2006, the cigarette tax raised more than $787 million. In FY 2007 – after it was hiked by almost 7 percent – the tax raised only $764 million, or $23 million less than the previous year.

[…]

Some of the sales decline was due to smokers giving up an expensive habit, but that can\’t explain its magnitude. Many smokers don\’t buy cigarettes from New Jersey retailers. Instead, some purchase cigarettes in the states that border New Jersey, all of which have lower cigarette prices. While New Jersey\’s sales are plummeting, Delaware\’s are increasing. And it\’s certainly not the case that more Delaware residents are becoming smokers. Also, some smokers make purchases via the Internet. Others even buy in the black market, which owes its very existence to New Jersey\’s steep tax.

So higher taxes means less revenue to the state – and while some of the reduction can be attributed to people quitting smoking, much of it likely means people are getting their cigarettes from other sources.  In fact, recent research suggests that higher cigarette taxes don\’t, in fact, dissuade low-income smokers from quitting.

Of course, Governor Doyle\’s proposed per-pack cigarette tax increase of $1.25 far exceeds the new 17.5 cent tax in New Jersey.  So it will take a lot more people quitting or purchasing their cigarettes from out of state or online to offset the tax increase.  However, this effect supports Deb Jordahl\’s WPRI Commentary from last week, which demonstrates the paradox of state government relying on a new tax that is intended to keep people from a behavior that is needed to keep collecting the tax.

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